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Nominal Exchange Rate Anchoring Under Inflation Inertia

by Guillermo Calvo , Michael Kumhof , Oya Celasun

📖 The Scoop

This paper develops a theory of inflation inertia based on forward looking staggered price setting in the nontradable goods sector of a small open economy. Unlike current theories of sticky prices, transitions to a lower steady state inflation rate take time even if they are fully credible, and they are associated with significant output losses in nontradables There is a welfare trade-off between these output losses and the gains from smaller inflationary distortions. Gains exceed losses for most calibrations. The optimal steady state is the Friedman rule.

Genre: Business & Economics / General (fancy, right?)

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