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The Output Decline in the Aftermath of Reform

by Mr.Dimitri G. Demekas , Mr.Eduardo Borensztein , Mr.Jonathan David Ostry

๐Ÿ“– The Scoop

This paper analyzes the declines in economic activity experienced by Bulgaria, the Czech and Slovak Federal Republic (CSFR), and Romania in the period since the initiation of market-oriented reforms in these countries. The paper reviews developments in the three countries and empirically investigates two questions that are key to the interpretation of the output decline: First, to what extent does the output fall reflect โ€œstructural changeโ€ (or a reallocation of resources across sectors) rather than a conventional recession? Second, to what extent have demand-side or supply-side forces been dominant in generating the output decline?

Genre: Business & Economics / Exports & Imports (fancy, right?)

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