Bryan Rooney

Deterrence and Escalation in Competition with Russia

The Role of Ground Forces in Preventing Hostile Measures Below Armed Conflict in Europe

U.S. forward military posture can both deter and provoke armed conflict, and a similar logic pertains below the level of armed conflict. The authors o...

Implementing Restraint

Changes in U.S. Regional Security Policies to Operationalize a Realist Grand Strategy of Restraint

Under a realist grand strategy of restraint, the United States would cooperate more with other powers, reduce its forward military presence, and end s...

Like-Minded Allies?

Indo-Pacific Partners' Views on Possible Changes in the U. S. Relationship with Taiwan

The authors examine how three U.S. regional allies--Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the Philippines--would respond to a change in U.S. policy toward...

Assessing the Value of Overseas Military Campaigning in Strategic Competition

The authors examine trade-offs between the contributions of campaigning instruments to U.S. strategic goals and their costs. They provide the foundati...

Future U.S. Peacetime Policy Toward Russia

Exploring the Benefits and Costs of a Less-Hardline Approach

Using four historical case studies, the authors found that limited less-hardline approaches can lead to durable but narrow gains. However, issues left...

Anticipating Chinese Reactions to U.S. Posture Enhancements

This report provides a framework of key factors to aid U.S. policymakers in assessing how China may react to shifting U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific...

Managing Escalation While Competing Effectively in the Indo-Pacific

This report assesses how China may react to U.S. military activities in the Indo-Pacific. It provides a framework of factors likely to determine Chine...

Multiple Dilemmas

Challenges and Options for All-Domain Command and Control

The authors examine potential command-and-control impediments to multidomain operations and propose alternative models for joint all-domain command an...

Do Alliances and Partnerships Entangle the United States in Conflict?

In this report, RAND researchers assess the evidence for claims that U.S. security relationships cause the United States to adopt its partners' intere...

Paratus Futurum Strategic Gaming

Priming the U.S. Coast Guard for the Future

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DETERRENCE AND ESCALATION IN COMPETITION WITH RUSSIA

Executive Summary

The deterrence of armed conflict has been studied intensively for decades, as have escalation dynamics along the path to such conflicts. The deterrenc...

Does the U.S. Economy Benefit from U.S. Alliances and Forward Military Presence?

The authors evaluate claims about the potential economic benefits of U.S. military engagement and find evidence that U.S. alliances increase bilateral...