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The authors of this report examine military applications of artificial intelligence (AI); compare development efforts in the United States, China, and...
An Exploratory Analysis
In this report, the authors review the literature on China's grand strategy and discuss China's use of institutions in implementing its grand strategy...
Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
China has undertaken two broad types of military interventions in its post-1949 history. The authors assess which one of two patterns is likely to pre...
This report explores where the United States, China, and Russia may be competing for influence in secondary theaters; where and why competition might ...
The authors explore where, how, and how often U.S. adversaries (specifically, Russia, China, and Iran) have intervened militarily since 1946 and ident...
Quelling Perfect Storms
RAND researchers describe an experimental "thinking-Red" approach to analysis, wargaming, and other exercises to help inform strategies to avoid aggre...
This report assesses how China may react to U.S. military activities in the Indo-Pacific. It provides a framework of factors likely to determine Chine...
State Motivations and Future Trends
The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: ...
If its current artificial intelligence plan is successful, China will achieve an advantage over the United States and its allies. That has significant...
This report explores the potential for competition among the United States, China, and Russia in the Middle East; where and why competition might turn...
Military Implications
The authors examine the military implications of intrastate proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support...
A Policy Game
This report describes key insights from an analytical policy game that explored policy choices for South Korea regarding its role in the global semico...
Contexts, Constraints, and Concepts
This report seeks to address how the U.S. Army can most effectively project and employ land power in the Indo-Pacific, during competition and conflict...
This report explores the potential for competition and conflict among the United States, China, and Russia in Africa; where and why competition might ...
Summary Analysis, Findings, and Recommendations
The U.S. Air Force is exploring adaptive basing (AB) concepts to reduce the vulnerability of U.S. forces to growing air and missile threats and to pre...
This report provides a framework of key factors to aid U.S. policymakers in assessing how China may react to shifting U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific...
Identifying Redlines and Escalation Pathways
This paper shares the results of an exercise hosted by the RAND Corporation to explore the risk of escalation from Chinese activities in the gray zone...
With a Repeatable Methodology for Other Countries
Introduction -- Economics -- Governance and Regulations -- Research, Development, and Innovation -- Workforce, Labor, and Skills -- Manufacturing -- R...
An Analysis of People's Liberation Army Missions, Tasks, and Potential Vulnerabilities
The authors (1) identify tasks that the Chinese military would likely be assigned in peacetime competition with the United States and in a hypothetica...
This report explores the potential for competition and conflict among the United States, China, and Russia in Latin America; where competition might t...
A Framework to Assess Potential Host Nations
Using a framework of 17 indicators, the authors assess and rank potential host nations for Chinese overseas basing and access. They recommend steps to...
Leveraging theory and historical cases, the authors identify the factors that keep great-power rivalries stable and those that lead to conflictual out...
Appendixes A-C, Supporting Analyses of Adaptive Basing, Soft Power, and Historical Case Studies
The U.S. Air Force is exploring adaptive basing to reduce vulnerability and preserve critical combat capabilities in highly contested environments. Th...