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Rhetoric and Reality
What is Russia?s declared grand strategy? How do its actions and resource decisions match its declarations? The authors of this report offer answers t...
Organizing Operations for the Initial Period of War
The authors of this report identify and examine several factors to assess the orientation of Russian military strategy, including the balance of power...
Russia has long used political, military, economic, informational, and clandestine tools against countries in the Black Sea region. In this report, th...
Russia's Ground Combat Capabilities and Implications for U.S.-Russia Competition
Researchers analyze societal, political, economic, and demographic factors that undergird Russian military power. They also make projections about how...
"In this report, RAND researchers analyze Russian views of the international order. They identify core Russian foreign policy interests, including def...
The Role of Ground Forces in Preventing Hostile Measures Below Armed Conflict in Europe
U.S. forward military posture can both deter and provoke armed conflict, and a similar logic pertains below the level of armed conflict. The authors o...
National Identity and the Origins of the War in Ukraine
Russiaโs manipulation of Ukraine, which culminated in the 2022 invasion, demonstrated that Russia was willing to resort to all means necessary to se...
In this report, RAND researchers analyze Russian core interests and views of the international order. The authors find that Russia sees the current in...
Determining Factors, Future Trajectories, Implications for the United States
China and Russia are perceived as major, long-term competitors with the United States. Since 2014, China and Russia have strengthened their relationsh...
The Influence of Geography and Conventional Capacity
In this report, RAND researchers examine the reasons behind Russia's evolution toward a unified strategic operation, as well as the capabilities that ...
Examining the Effects of Technologies on Strategic Deterrence in the 21st Century
The authors examined potential effects that emerging technologies could have on U.S. national security policy and identified long-term effects that th...
The authors examine how Russia assesses and applies the correlation of forces and means-the military balance between two opponents at the global, regi...
The Military-Political Situation and Military Potential in Strategic Planning
In this report, the authors draw on a framework developed by the Russian military science community to gain insight into the likelihood and character ...
"This volume offers a case study in how the Russian military science community conducts and applies forecasting to inform military planning. A RAND Co...
Analysis of Russian Ground Force Deployment Capabilities and Limitations
By the time it invaded Crimea in 2014, Russia seemed to have regained a significant portion of the military power it lost after the fall of the Soviet...
Chinese and Russian Perspectives
This report is part of a larger RAND Corporation study on the societal foundations of national competitiveness. The authors surveyed Chinese and Russi...
RAND researchers estimated what the invasion of Ukraine is costing Russia and concluded that, despite significant economic decline and the high cost o...
Executive Summary
The deterrence of armed conflict has been studied intensively for decades, as have escalation dynamics along the path to such conflicts. The deterrenc...
An Approach to Developing Cyberspace Options to Sustain U.S. Primacy Against Revisionist Powers
The 2022 National Defense Strategy calls for "integrated deterrence" in how the United States postures its cyberspace forces to address the strategic ...
Scenarios
Examining the Role of Sensing and Partner and Allied Contributions to Competition with Russia in the Arctic
Since 2016, Plan Blue wargames have explored scenarios that depict large-scale war fights against state adversaries in order to help U.S. Department o...