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Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Warfare
For decades, films such as WarGames and The Terminator have warned that the combination of artificial intelligence and nuclear weapons might be a reci...
Competing from Advantageous Ground
As the U.S. National Defense Strategy recognizes, the United States is currently locked in a great-power competition with Russia. This report seeks to...
Organizing Operations for the Initial Period of War
The authors of this report identify and examine several factors to assess the orientation of Russian military strategy, including the balance of power...
Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
Moscow's use of its military abroad in recent years has radically reshaped perceptions of Russia as an international actor. With the 2014 annexation o...
Russia's Ground Combat Capabilities and Implications for U.S.-Russia Competition
Researchers analyze societal, political, economic, and demographic factors that undergird Russian military power. They also make projections about how...
Assessment and Recommendations
In this report, the authors assess the state of artificial intelligence (AI) relevant to DoD, conduct an independent assessment of the Department of D...
Examining the Effects of Technologies on Strategic Deterrence in the 21st Century
The authors examined potential effects that emerging technologies could have on U.S. national security policy and identified long-term effects that th...
This study analyzes technological successes and identifies capability gaps regarding technological countermeasures to radioactive contamination caused...
Civil Defense in the United States and Soviet Union, 1945-1991
The dangerous, decades-long arms race between the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War begged a fundamental question: how did these ...
The authors examine the challenges to the U.S.-Russian bilateral strategic stability paradigm and assess possible policy changes that could address th...
This report examines what role nonstrategic nuclear weapons could play in deterring a Russian invasion of the Baltic states, where the North Atlantic ...
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) are enabling previously infeasible capabilities, potentially destabilizing the delicate balances that have fo...
Wargames, Volume 4
Rapid progress in artificial intelligence (AI) for game-playing has inspired intense interest in the possible benefits of the technology for wargames....
State Motivations and Future Trends
The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: ...
The authors explore where, how, and how often U.S. adversaries (specifically, Russia, China, and Iran) have intervened militarily since 1946 and ident...
Military Implications
The authors examine the military implications of intrastate proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support...
Findings and recommendations
This report concerns the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) systems to assist in Air Force command and control (C2) from a technical perspecti...
Summary
The U.S. Air Force is increasingly interested in the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance various aspects of warfighting. This projec...
Volume 2, Technical Analysis and Supporting Material
The authors recommend tools, technologies, and processes to address the growing demand for Air Force Distributed Common Ground System support as it re...
Using Social Bots to Fight Violent Extremism
As the online recruitment of violent extremist organizations grows, the U.S. government may benefit from promising emerging technology tools to rapidl...
Volume 1, Findings and Recommendations
There is growing demand for the Air Force Distributed Common Ground System (AF DCGS) to analyze sensor data. The authors assessed how new tools and te...
This report describes the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) systems to assist in Air Force command and control (C2). The authors develop a fr...
Using an original data set of 145 ground, air, and naval interventions from 1898 through 2016, this report identifies those factors that have made U.S...
This perspective examines the institutional and technical obstacles to the commercialization of advanced nuclear reactors for electrical power generat...
Supporting technical analysis
This volume serves as the technical analysis to a report concerning the potential for artificial intelligence (AI) systems to assist in Air Force comm...
The fifth-generation (5G) technology standard for broadband cellular communications is expanding in Europe and will offer many more capabilities than ...
Concepts, Challenges, and Prospects for New Approaches
"In this report, several authors explore the concept of undergoverned spaces (UGS) and the concepts, challenges, and prospects for developing new appr...
Scenario-Based Technology Assessment for Future Military Contingencies
This report presents the development and implementation of a technology assessment process to help the Army understand the implications of key emergin...