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Managing Escalation in the 21st Century
Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition, and today's security environment demands that the United States be prepared for a h...
Competing from Advantageous Ground
As the U.S. National Defense Strategy recognizes, the United States is currently locked in a great-power competition with Russia. This report seeks to...
Preemptive and Preventive Attack in U.S. National Security Policy
RAND Project AIR FORCE studied the post-9/11 shift in U.S. defense policy emphasis toward preemptive and preventive attack, asking under what conditio...
Major Drivers and Issues for the United States
Chinaโs approach to nuclear deterrence has been broadly consistent since its first test in 1964, but it has recently accelerated nuclear force moder...
Escalation Management between Peer Air Forces
Is it possible for two combatants who possess equally strong air forces to conduct limited warfare by restraining air operations? In Restraining Air P...
Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996โ2017
A RAND study analyzed Chinese and U.S. military capabilities in two scenarios (Taiwan and the Spratly Islands) from 1996 to 2017, finding that trends ...
A Comparative Analysis of Fighters, Bombers, and Missiles
To effectively manage an international crisis, the United States must balance its threats with restraint. It must posture forces in ways that deter ag...
Implications for Coercive Diplomacy in the Twenty-first Century
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Considerations for Army Leaders
This report examines how Joint Task Force-Haiti (JTF-Haiti) supported the humanitarian assistance and disaster relief efforts in Haiti. It focuses on ...
The authors of this report examine military applications of artificial intelligence (AI); compare development efforts in the United States, China, and...
"China's approach to nuclear deterrence has been broadly consistent since its first nuclear test in 1964. Key elements are its no-first-use policy and...
Project Overview and Conclusions
This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer questions about the future of warfare, including who might be the United States' adversar...
Creating a Military Service for Space
As the United States creates the Space Force as a service within the Department of the Air Force, RAND assessed which units to bring into the Space Fo...
A Manual for the Way a Modern Warrior Should Think
A step-by-step aooroiach to applying the Japanese warriors mind set to martial training and daily life....
The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U. S. Air Force
This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines significant factors shaping military trends over the next 10-15 years: changes in the size, quali...
Prospects for Neutralization, Strategies for Escalation Management
Discusses the challenges associated with potential confrontations between the United States and hostile states with small nuclear arsenals....
Discussion and Results from a Structured Workshop
Every few years, the Air Force develops the Strategic Environment Assessment (AFSEA). The 2016 AFSEA is a 30-year look into the future for Air Force p...
Waking the Snow Leopard is a tail of conspiracy, sexual manipulation, and international intrigue. The Covenant, a religious order that was persecuted ...
A Preliminary Assessment
Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S. space assets. The United States nee...
The Analytical Framework, Lexicon, and Characteristics of the Operational Resilience Analysis Model (ORAM)
Although much work has been done considering the issue of airbase resilience #x14; especially in the Asia-Pacific region #x14; these studies have typi...
A Game-theoretic Methodology for Assessing the Deterrent Value of Space Control Options
"This report leverages and extends prior Project AIR FORCE research, which is documented in Forrest E. Morgan, Deterrence and First-Strike Stability i...