Philip E. Tetlock

Superforecasting

The Art and Science of Prediction

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahn...

Expert Political Judgment

How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary...

Reasoning and Choice

Explorations in Political Psychology

A major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary people decide what to favour and what to oppose politically....

Expert Political Judgment

How Good is It? How Can We Know?

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Portfolio Structuring and the Value of Forecasting

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HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks? If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through ...

Learning In U.s. And Soviet Foreign Policy

This book addresses an aspect of the theory and practice of foreign policy that has assumed increasing emphasis in the study of international relation...