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The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia
Disorder erupted in Ukraine in 2014, involving the overthrow of a sitting government, the Russian annexation of the Crimean peninsula, and a violent i...
Rhetoric and Reality
Understanding Russiaโs grand strategy can help U.S. decisionmakers assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United ...
Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
Moscow's use of its military abroad in recent years has radically reshaped perceptions of Russia as an international actor. With the 2014 annexation o...
Russia's Ground Combat Capabilities and Implications for U.S.-Russia Competition
Researchers analyze societal, political, economic, and demographic factors that undergird Russian military power. They also make projections about how...
An Opportunity to Bolster U.S.-Russia Commercial Ties?
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Country Perspectives
The U.S. National Security Strategy is built around the expectation of a new era of intensifying international competition that the United States is e...
The authors examine the challenges to the U.S.-Russian bilateral strategic stability paradigm and assess possible policy changes that could address th...
Russia has consistently engaged in signaling activities toward the United States and its allies in recent years. The authors analyze this behavior to ...
Exploring the Benefits and Costs of a Less-Hardline Approach
Using four historical case studies, the authors found that limited less-hardline approaches can lead to durable but narrow gains. However, issues left...
In this study, RAND researchers examined the current role of security cooperation efforts as a tool in the emerging strategic competition among the Un...
Assessing Options for U.S. Strategy Toward Russia After the Ukraine War
Although there is no end in sight to the Russia-Ukraine war, U.S. policymakers should begin considering postwar Russia strategy now. The authors revie...
Perspectives on the Regional Order in Post-Soviet Europe and Eurasia
Russia's relations with the West are in deep turmoil. While the competitive dynamic between Russia and the West has come to a head in Ukraine, all of ...
The authors explore where, how, and how often U.S. adversaries (specifically, Russia, China, and Iran) have intervened militarily since 1946 and ident...
Objective-setting and the Kremlin's Use of Force Abroad
"Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine is by far its largest and most consequential commitment of military forces abroad in recent decades. The stak...
Addressing the Security Challenges of the 21st Century
Over 30 years after the end of the Cold War, military tensions have returned to Europe. Both the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russia ...
Leveraging theory and historical cases, the authors identify the factors that keep great-power rivalries stable and those that lead to conflictual out...
Patterns and Drivers
The authors combined quantitative and qualitative modes of analysis to better understand and anticipate flashpoints with Russia....