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European Vulnerabilities to Russian Pressures
Given Russiaโs annexation of Crimea and continued aggression in eastern Ukraine, Europe must reassess its approach to a regional security environmen...
Competing from Advantageous Ground
As the U.S. National Defense Strategy recognizes, the United States is currently locked in a great-power competition with Russia. This report seeks to...
The Islamic State has lost substantial amounts of territory but continues to conduct and inspire attacks around the world. This report assesses the th...
Whether, When, and with What Size Force to Intervene
In this report, the authors create a framework that can be used to rigorously consider the trade-offs involved in U.S. military intervention decisions...
Assessing the Campaign Against Al Shabaab
This study examines the counterterrorism and counterinsurgency campaign against al Shabaab in Somalia. It concludes that, while al Shabaab was weakene...
The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) has recently been more successful than al Qaeda in gaining U.S. terrorist recruits. The authors undert...
Project Overview and Conclusions
This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer questions about the future of warfare, including who might be the United States' adversar...
A Case Study Using California Rice Straw
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Essential Gross and Microscopic Pathologic Features Systematically Arranged for Easier Identification
Identifies drivers of opium poppy cultivation in southern Afghanistan and assesses effects of programs to promote rural development, eradicate opium p...
Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts
China has undertaken two broad types of military interventions in its post-1949 history. The authors assess which one of two patterns is likely to pre...
State Motivations and Future Trends
The authors used both quantitative analysis and case studies of China, Iran, and Russia to examine the causes and likely future trends in proxy wars: ...
Assessing Future Trends in Armed Conflict and U.S. Military Interventions
This report identifies potential future demands for U.S. ground forces under different scenarios, including size, location, and capabilities, to infor...
Risks and Opportunities
On May 18, 2005, the RAND Corporation and the Delegation of the European Commission to the United States held a conference to promote discussion betwe...
The authors explore where, how, and how often U.S. adversaries (specifically, Russia, China, and Iran) have intervened militarily since 1946 and ident...
Military Implications
The authors examine the military implications of intrastate proxy wars: civil wars in which at least one local warring party receives material support...
The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U. S. Air Force
This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines economic trends that could affect U.S. national security, including pressure on the global tradin...
Exploring Components of Trustworthiness
Trust in many institutions, such as government and media, has declined in the past two decades. Although such trends are well documented, they are not...
This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines trends in factors affecting the use of restraint in warfare that could affect U.S. national secur...
This report provides a framework of key factors to aid U.S. policymakers in assessing how China may react to shifting U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific...
Lessons from U.S. Experience
The decision to use a military intervention to achieve a political goal is inherently risky. To offset some of these risks, slates sometimes seek to b...
In this report, the authors assess when, where, why, and how Iran conducts military interventions and identify key signposts of Iranian military inter...
This report assesses how China may react to U.S. military activities in the Indo-Pacific. It provides a framework of factors likely to determine Chine...
The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force
Military objectives often can be pursued using a number of different approaches: airpower versus ground forces, larger munitions versus smaller ones, ...
Tasks, Organization, and Capabilities Required for the Earliest Phase of Stability Operations
This report analyzes the golden hour-the early phase of a postconflict stability operation-and the actions, organization, and capabilities necessary t...
Using an original data set of 145 ground, air, and naval interventions from 1898 through 2016, this report identifies those factors that have made U.S...
A Framework to Assess Potential Host Nations
Using a framework of 17 indicators, the authors assess and rank potential host nations for Chinese overseas basing and access. They recommend steps to...
Assessing U.S. Business Community Support for U.S.-China Competition
The authors assess how the U.S. business community viewed Trump administration policies designed to counter China's anticompetitive economic behaviors...
Incorporating Climate Change
This report addresses how climate change could affect the frequency of conflict in the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility (AOR). Th...
This report presents an analysis of the pathways from climate change to conflict and how that relationship is unfolding in the U.S. Central Command (C...